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Northern lights in Fairbanks

Current conditions for Fairbanks, the latitude maths behind them and where to stand.

Kp index now

1.67Quiet

NOAA estimate at 23:31 UTC

Aurora chance in Fairbanks

0%

NOAA OVATION for 00:23 UTC

Cloud cover

23%Mostly clear

MET Norway, around 15:34 local time

Sky

Too light

Sun at 13° over Fairbanks

The oval reaches Fairbanks from about Kp 1.

Next 36 hours in Fairbanks

  1. Fri 16 Oct, 15:00: Too light
  2. Fri 16 Oct, 16:00: Too light
  3. Fri 16 Oct, 17:00: Too light
  4. Fri 16 Oct, 18:00: Too light
  5. Fri 16 Oct, 19:00: Too light
  6. Fri 16 Oct, 20:00: Dark but cloudy
  7. Fri 16 Oct, 21:00: Dark but cloudy
  8. Fri 16 Oct, 22:00: Dark but cloudy
  9. Fri 16 Oct, 23:00: Dark but cloudy
  10. Sat 17 Oct, 00:00: Dark but cloudy
  11. Sat 17 Oct, 01:00: Dark but cloudy
  12. Sat 17 Oct, 02:00: Dark but cloudy
  13. Sat 17 Oct, 03:00: Dark but cloudy
  14. Sat 17 Oct, 04:00: Dark but cloudy
  15. Sat 17 Oct, 05:00: Dark but cloudy
  16. Sat 17 Oct, 06:00: Dark but cloudy
  17. Sat 17 Oct, 07:00: Too light
  18. Sat 17 Oct, 08:00: Too light
  19. Sat 17 Oct, 09:00: Too light
  20. Sat 17 Oct, 10:00: Too light
  21. Sat 17 Oct, 11:00: Too light
  22. Sat 17 Oct, 12:00: Too light
  23. Sat 17 Oct, 13:00: Too light
  24. Sat 17 Oct, 14:00: Too light
  25. Sat 17 Oct, 15:00: Too light
  26. Sat 17 Oct, 16:00: Too light
  27. Sat 17 Oct, 17:00: Too light
  28. Sat 17 Oct, 18:00: Too light
  29. Sat 17 Oct, 19:00: Too light
  30. Sat 17 Oct, 20:00: Dark but cloudy
  31. Sat 17 Oct, 21:00: Dark but cloudy
  32. Sat 17 Oct, 22:00: Dark but cloudy
  33. Sat 17 Oct, 23:00: Dark but cloudy
  34. Sun 18 Oct, 00:00: Dark but cloudy
  35. Sun 18 Oct, 01:00: Dark but cloudy
  36. Sun 18 Oct, 02:00: Dark but cloudy
  • Dark, clear, Kp high enough
  • Dark and clear, Kp too low
  • Dark but cloudy
  • Too light
  • No forecast

No hour in this window is dark, clear and active enough.

Hours are local time in Fairbanks.

Rule of thumb: sun below −12°, cloud cover at or under 40 % and forecast Kp of 1 or more.

Kp: last day and 3-day forecast

035792026-10-15 21:00 UTC · Kp 2.332026-10-16 00:00 UTC · Kp 3.33Fri 162026-10-16 03:00 UTC · Kp 22026-10-16 06:00 UTC · Kp 1.672026-10-16 09:00 UTC · Kp 2.332026-10-16 12:00 UTC · Kp 1.672026-10-16 15:00 UTC · Kp 3.332026-10-16 18:00 UTC · Kp 3.672026-10-16 21:00 UTC · Kp 2.672026-10-17 00:00 UTC · Kp 4Sat 172026-10-17 03:00 UTC · Kp 3.332026-10-17 06:00 UTC · Kp 22026-10-17 09:00 UTC · Kp 1.332026-10-17 12:00 UTC · Kp 1.332026-10-17 15:00 UTC · Kp 1.332026-10-17 18:00 UTC · Kp 22026-10-17 21:00 UTC · Kp 1.672026-10-18 00:00 UTC · Kp 1.67Sun 182026-10-18 03:00 UTC · Kp 1.672026-10-18 06:00 UTC · Kp 1.332026-10-18 09:00 UTC · Kp 1.332026-10-18 12:00 UTC · Kp 1.332026-10-18 15:00 UTC · Kp 1.332026-10-18 18:00 UTC · Kp 1.332026-10-18 21:00 UTC · Kp 1.672026-10-19 00:00 UTC · Kp 1.67Mon 19G1 storm (Kp 5)Kp needed in Fairbanks
  • Observed or estimated
  • NOAA forecast
  • Kp needed in Fairbanks
  • G1 storm (Kp 5)

Highest forecast Kp in the next 3 days: 4.0

Days in UTC

Data fetched 2026-10-16 23:34 UTC. NOAA SWPC for Kp and OVATION, MET Norway for clouds.

Fairbanks in numbers

Country
United States
Latitude
64.8° N
Geomagnetic latitude (approx.)
65.7° N
Oval reaches the place from
Kp 1
Arctic Circle
191 km south of it
Time zone
America/Anchorage
OVATION chance now
0%

Hours of darkness through the year

Hours with the sun below −12° on the 15th of each month, calculated for Fairbanks. Aurora needs a dark sky; this is the limit before any cloud or Kp.

Hours of darkness through the year
Month Dark hours
January 14.4
February 11.9
March 8.9
April 4.3
May None
June None
July None
August None
September 6.9
October 10.5
November 13.4
December 15.0

Fairbanks is the largest city in interior Alaska, 196 miles by road south of the Arctic Circle. It sits in a broad river basin on the Chena River with hills to the north and east.

Aurora is frequent here: the Wikipedia article on the city says it is visible on average more than 200 days a year in the vicinity of Fairbanks. Treat that as a sign that the oval is often nearby, not as a promise for any given night.

Where to watch

  • Cleary Summit, in the hills north of the city, is a popular high-ground site that puts the lights of the Fairbanks basin below you.
  • Chena Hot Springs, about 90 km north-east of the city, is a resort with its own lodging and a dark sky that makes it a common choice for staying out late.
  • Murphy Dome, a ridge north-west of the city, has a wide horizon. Check winter road conditions before driving up.
  • Creamer's Field in town is a former dairy farm turned waterfowl refuge with open fields. It is the easiest short outing but still has some city glow.

Getting there and getting around

Fairbanks International Airport has flights to Anchorage and Seattle and seasonal connections elsewhere. The Alaska Railroad connects Anchorage and Fairbanks; check its winter schedule. You need a car for the best sites, and the Parks and Steese highways are the main roads out of the city. Cold affects vehicles: use a block heater if your rental has one.

A second opinion

The Geophysical Institute at the University of Alaska Fairbanks publishes its own aurora forecast for the state at https://www.gi.alaska.edu/monitors/aurora-forecast. It presents the forecast as an activity scale for Alaska. Use it alongside Aurorix when you plan.

Local conditions

Interior Alaska has a continental climate, so winters are cold and summers have very long daylight. The darkness table shows dark hours on the 15th from September through April. Time zone: Alaska Time, one hour behind Pacific.

Other destinations

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